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Geopolitical crises, Mideast, Europe wars drive dip in oil

‘OPEC Plus output reduction did not solve problem’

publish time

12/11/2024

publish time

12/11/2024

Geopolitical crises, Mideast, Europe wars drive dip in oil

KUWAIT CITY, Nov 12: The profits of oil companies for fiscal 2024/2025 might not be better than the previous fiscal year (2023/2024), as indicators show a decline in the profits of major international oil companies. Oil sector sources explained to the newspaper that this decline is the result of the continuation of geopolitical crises in the Middle East, military conflicts in Europe and the Middle East, lower economic growth rates in most oil-consuming countries, especially in China, and the fluctuation of inflation and interest rates in the United States of America.

Sources said these factors played a major role in the decline in global oil prices, indicating the reduction in production by OPEC Plus did not solve the problem, as the price of oil continued to decline in 2024 compared to 2023. Sources pointed out that the continuation of this decline will inevitably lead to the extension of the voluntary reduction by OPEC Plus countries in 2025, which requires Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC) to demand that its subsidiaries regulate oil projects until the vision becomes clear, so the corporation’s budget is not drained in useless oil projects.

Sources suggested that local oil companies should expand fuel tanks to store the largest possible quantity, considering crude oil has no shelf life; in addition to the expansion of such reserves in many European and Asian countries to be close to global markets in case OPEC Plus agrees to increase Kuwait’s production in the future.

Decline
On the decline of oil prices in the third quarter of this year, sources revealed that Brent crude’s average price decreased by seven percent compared to the same period last year. They added this negatively affected the profits of major international companies, citing as an example the American company Exxon Mobil which announced that its net profits declined by five percent in the third quarter of this year, and that its profits decreased in the first nine months to about $26 billion compared to its profits in the same period last year. Sources clarified many non-geopolitical factors contributed to the oil price decline like a slowdown in demand and low profit margins of gasoline, diesel and other oil derivatives.

Sources added another global oil company whose profits declined this year is the American company Chevron, as its net profits for the third quarter reached $4.5 billion compared to the same period in 2023, in addition to a decrease in net profits in the first nine months by nearly $14 billion. The Italian company, Eni, it suffered a decline in profits by 72 percent, the French company Total Energy’s net profits fell by 65 percent or $2.29 billion despite achieving net profits of $6.67 billion in the same period last year. The profits of Norwegian company, Quinnor, decreased by more than eight percent -- $2.28 billion in third quarter of 2024, but it is not a high percentage compared to the same period last year, when it achieved about $2.5 billion. Shell Global experienced the same with 38 to 39 percent decline as it earned about $4 billion in the third quarter of this year, compared to about $7 billion in the same period last year. British oil company BP’s profits decreased by 32.2 percent -- $2.23 billion this year compared to last year’s $3.29 billion.

By Najeh Bilal

Al-Seyassah/Arab Times Staff