publish time

13/08/2024

author name Arab Times

publish time

13/08/2024

The study projects 84% increase in cancer cases and 93% rise in deaths among men by 2050.

NEW YORK, Aug 13: Cancer cases and deaths among men are projected to surge significantly by 2050, according to a recent study published in the journal Cancer. The study, conducted by researchers from Australia, analyzed data from 30 types of cancer across 185 countries and territories in 2022 to forecast future trends.

The study predicts a dramatic increase in cancer cases among men, rising from 10.3 million in 2022 to 19 million by 2050, an 84% increase. Cancer deaths are expected to rise even more sharply, from 5.4 million in 2022 to 10.5 million in 2050, representing a 93% increase. Notably, deaths among men aged 65 and older are projected to increase by 117%.

Countries with lower income levels and shorter life expectancies are anticipated to experience the most significant increases in cancer deaths. The study estimates that in Africa and the Eastern Mediterranean, the number of cancer cases and deaths will increase 2.5-fold between 2022 and 2050. In contrast, Europe is expected to see an increase of about 50%.

The study highlights that men are already more susceptible to cancer-related deaths compared to women, partly due to higher rates of smoking and alcohol consumption, exposure to workplace carcinogens, and less frequent use of screening programs. Lung cancer is projected to remain the leading cause of cancer and cancer-related deaths in men through 2050. Additionally, mesothelioma is expected to see the highest increase in cases, while prostate cancer is anticipated to cause the most deaths.

To address these rising numbers, the researchers emphasize the need for enhanced health access and infrastructure, including a robust healthcare workforce. Expanding universal health coverage globally could improve basic cancer care options, particularly in low-income countries that currently suffer from poor cancer outcomes and limited health coverage.

Earlier this year, the American Cancer Society reported that population growth and aging are significant factors contributing to the global cancer burden. The world’s population, approximately 8 billion in 2022, is projected to reach 9.7 billion by 2050. Dr. William Dahut, chief scientific officer at the American Cancer Society, indicated that the number of cancer cases could rise to 35 million by 2050, driven by the aging population and increasing prevalence of cancer risk factors such as tobacco use and obesity, particularly in low-income countries.